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Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy for Week 1, 2021 - CBS Sports

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The 2021 NFL season begins in earnest with a jam-packed Week 1 slate. While fans of respective teams are undoubtedly excited about football returning, Week 1 also means you need to submit your first NFL survivor pool picks. The Los Angeles Rams are a highly intriguing potential team to choose in Week 1 according to the latest NFL odds. Los Angeles is favored by 7.5 points at home against the Chicago Bears, and that number stands out on the board.

Other teams you could use in your NFL pool picks include the reigning champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5 against the Cowboys), San Francisco 49ers (-7.5 against the Lions), or Buffalo Bills (-6.5 against the Steelers). Or you could pivot and take a team like the Kansas City Chiefs (-6 against the Browns) with your NFL knockout pool picks. Before making any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format. Each week, the available team winning the most computer simulations has prevailed straight-up You can only see who it's backing this week here.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 1, the model is shying away from the Chiefs. Kansas City is playing the Cleveland Browns, and Cleveland has appealing talent on both sides of the ball. Cleveland made tangible upgrades defensively from 2020, adding Jadeveon Clowney, John Johnson and Anthony Walker to the starting unit.

Clowney flanks Myles Garrett at defensive end, and Garrett is one of the best in the league, generating 12 sacks and 15 tackles for loss last season. Moreover, the Browns held opponents to just 7.2 yards per pass attempt and, with the pass-happy Chiefs on the other side, Cleveland matches up reasonably well. Kansas City is the favorite to win, but they will have easier matchups to use in survivor pools later in 2021.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a stunning team that finished under .500 last season. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 2, it will also put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out. 

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Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy for Week 1, 2021 - CBS Sports
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